Were now coming down to the business end of the season and round 19 has brought some tough games for our footy tipping this week.
The toughest of all is this weeks game of round 19, Geelong V Collingwood. This result could decide who finishes on top at the end of the season so expect a finals like atmosphere and pace to the game.
Best Bet of Round 19
This week I’m taking Melbourne to win between 1-39 points. Melbourne will likely take the points but not blow the game apart. Its paying $2.28 which is pretty good odds in my eyes.
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Essendon V Carlton Friday night at the MCG
Tip: Carlton
Odd: Essendon 2.06 Carlton 1.93
It is the first of the “must win” games for the Blues if they are going to be playing in September. I think they will be a changed team after the poor performance they showed last week against the Pies and should bounce back against a Essendon side with a few question marks around them.
North Melbourne V Fremantle Saturday at Etihad Stadium
Tip: Fremantle
Odds: North 2.26 Fremantle 1.77
This could turn out to be a messy game with both teams lacking their top players due to injury. Freo have shown a few good signs traveling to Melbourne this year and leading into the finals they will want to be on their A game.
I’m predicting a 24 point win to the Dockers
Sydney V Hawthorn Saturday at the SCG
Tip: Hawthorn
Odds: Sydney 2.20 Hawks: 1.81
The Hawks have been equal if not the form side after the mid season break and should beat the Swans in Sydney who are having trouble stringing wins together.
Keep an eye on Jarryd Roughead, I think his poor goal conversions of late could be about to change.
Geelong V Collingwood Saturday night at the MCG
Tip: Geelong
Odds: Geelong 1.91 Pies: 2.04
Its as close to 50/50 as you can get. Both clubs are at their best and it will come down to if the younger players in the Pies 22 can outplay their experienced opposition.
I think Geelong is more tolerable to pressure than the Pies and should be the difference at the end of the day.
West Coast V Brisbane Saturday night at Subiaco Oval
Tip: West Coast
Odds: Eagles 1.71 Brisbane 2.38
The Lions will struggle with the trip over to WA where the Eagles are playing some alright football at some stages this year although they haven’t won at Subiaco in the past three months.
There should be plenty of scoring in the match with Brown looking to dominate an undermanned Eagles back line.
The game could go either way but its West Coast at home for me.
St Kilda V Port Adelaide Sunday at Etihad Stadium
Tip: St Kilda
Odds: St Kilda 1.25 Port 4.80
The Saints will be out to turn around their recent form and get their first win for a month.
St Kilda has gone out of their way to kick the ball to Nick since he has come back, maybe to get him back into some form. This week I expect them to share the goal kicking duties around a lot more which should see them get a comfortable win.
Melbourne V Richmond Sunday at the MCG
Tip: Melbourne
Odds: Melbourne 1.57 Richmond 2.72
Melbourne has finals footy on their radar and Richmond won’t stand a chance in stopping them this weekend.
I’m predicting a quiet day from Jack Riewoldt as the pressure of the Coleman Medal get larger with now equal leader (on 65 goals) Barry Hall looks the goods this season.
Adelaide V Western Bulldogs Sunday at AAMI Stadium
Tip: Western Bulldogs
Odds: Adelaide 3.50 Bulldogs 1.38
The Doggies have a top 4 spot for the finals in their sights and will play out a full 4 quarters after a lackluster in the first half last week against the Kangas.
